2021 Stanley Cup Finals Betting Guide: Lightning vs. Canadiens Odds and Preview

2021 Stanley Cup Finals Betting Guide: Lightning vs. Canadiens Odds and Preview

By Michael Peterson

February 28, 2025 at 11:51 PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens face off in the 2021 Stanley Cup Finals, with Game 1 starting Monday. Here's a comprehensive breakdown of the matchup:

Team Offense: Tampa Bay Advantage

  • Lightning lead playoffs with 3.22 goals per game (Montreal: 2.53)
  • Superior power play (37.7% vs 20.9%)
  • Brayden Point leads playoffs with 14 goals
  • Nikita Kucherov tops with 27 points (5 goals, 22 assists)
  • Eight different players with game-winning goals

Team Defense: Montreal Advantage

  • Canadiens killed 30 straight penalties
  • Four shorthanded goals scored vs three allowed
  • Strong defensive core with Weber, Chiarot, Petry, and Merill
  • Excellent at limiting shooting lanes and clearing traffic
  • Edge over Tampa's unit despite Hedman's individual excellence

Goaltending: Tampa Bay Slight Edge

  • Vasilevskiy: .936 save%, 1.99 GAA, 4 shutouts
  • Price: .934 save%, 2.04 GAA, 1 shutout
  • Vasilevskiy leads in key metrics:
    • Goals saved above expected: 7.3 vs 4.04
    • High danger save percentage: .896 vs .878

Series Odds:

  • Tampa Bay to win: -250
  • Montreal to win: +210

Exact Series Outcome Odds: Tampa Bay:

  • 4-0: +550
  • 4-1: +365
  • 4-2: +415
  • 4-3: +450

Montreal:

  • 4-0: +2200
  • 4-1: +1150
  • 4-2: +725
  • 4-3: +750

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