3M Open Golf Tournament: Expert Betting Preview & Top Picks

3M Open Golf Tournament: Expert Betting Preview & Top Picks

By Michael Peterson

February 28, 2025 at 09:27 PM

The 3M Open returns to TPC Twin Cities, featuring notable players like Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama, and Rickie Fowler. This PGA Tour event, while relatively new, has already established itself as an exciting tournament with historically low scoring.

Tournament History

  • Established in 2019, replacing the 3M Championship (PGA Tour Champions event)
  • Past winners:
    • 2019: Matthew Wolff (-21)
    • 2020: Michael Thompson (-19)
    • 2021: Cameron Champ (-15)

Course Details: TPC Twin Cities

  • Location: 15 miles north of Minneapolis-St. Paul
  • Design: Arnold Palmer (with Tom Lehman as consultant)
  • Specifications:
    • Par 71
    • 7,400+ yards
    • 72 white sand bunkers
    • 27 water hazards across 15 holes
    • Bentgrass greens
    • Rolling fairway terrain

Key Statistics for Success

  • Birdie or better percentage (especially on Par 4s)
  • Par 5 scoring (4 Par 5s on course)
  • Strokes gained: off-the-tee
  • Strokes gained: approach
  • Greenside bunker play

Top Betting Picks

Davis Riley (+2200)

  • 5th in Par 4 birdie percentage (21.49%)
  • Strong recent form with 6 straight top-13 finishes
  • 23rd in FedEx Cup standings

Sahith Theegala (+2200)

  • 8 consecutive made cuts
  • Two top-5 finishes recently
  • Strong Par 5 scoring
  • Top 20 in middle round scoring

Adam Hadwin (+2500)

  • Excellent course history (4th in 2019, T6 in 2021)
  • Accurate off the tee
  • Strong approach game
  • Solid bunker player

The course setup favors aggressive play and low scoring, making birdie-making ability crucial for success at this year's 3M Open.

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