Essential Guide: 3 Keys to Successful NFL Betting in 2021's Extended Season
With the NFL's 2021 season featuring an extra game, here are three essential strategies for successful betting:
Research Early Season Changes
- Track roster changes and new coaching staff
- Study previous season's offensive/defensive rankings from FootballOutsiders and Pro Football Focus
- Allow 2-3 weeks of games to assess team performance accurately
Monitor Betting Trends
- Track teams consistently beating the spread
- Identify high-scoring teams for over/under bets
- Look for misvalued underdogs and dominant favorites
- Focus on teams with strong offenses facing weak defenses
Target Key Matchup Advantages
- Analyze offensive line vs defensive line matchups
- Study defensive performance metrics (points allowed, yards given up)
- Look for weak offensive lines facing strong pass rushers
- Use quality matchups for both spread bets and player props
- Follow protection metrics like sacks and pressures allowed
Success comes from thorough research, tracking performance trends, and identifying advantageous matchups between strong and weak units. The Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl loss to Tampa Bay demonstrated how critical offensive line play can be - while Tom Brady remained protected, Patrick Mahomes faced constant pressure.
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