Florida vs Tennessee SEC Championship: Picks & Props for Bitter Conference Rivals

Florida vs Tennessee SEC Championship: Picks & Props for Bitter Conference Rivals

By Michael Peterson

March 22, 2025 at 08:49 AM

Basketball players leap for rebound

Basketball players leap for rebound

The Florida Gators (29-4) enter the SEC Tournament title game as 5.5-point favorites over the Tennessee Volunteers (27-6). The game tips off at 1:00 pm ET at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville on ESPN.

Florida has won five consecutive games against KenPom top-25 teams, including a dominant 104-82 victory over Alabama in the semifinals. The Gators boast a perfect 6-0 record in neutral-site games this season, covering the spread in each contest.

Tennessee, ranked third nationally in defensive efficiency, plays at one of the slowest tempos in college basketball (348th). The Volunteers are 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 against the spread in neutral-site games this season.

Best Game Picks:

  • Florida -3.5 (-158)
  • Public heavily favors Florida ML (82% of handle)
  • Total: Over 143.5 trending (74% of handle)

Top Player Props:

  • Walter Clayton Jr over 15.5 points (-120)
  • Alex Condon over 7.5 rebounds (-110)

Clayton Jr has led Florida in scoring throughout the SEC Tournament, including 22 points against Alabama. Meanwhile, Condon averages 7.9 rebounds per game and has recorded 8+ boards in four of his last five games.

Key Players to Watch:

  • Walter Clayton Jr (FL): 17.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 4.4 APG
  • Chaz Lanier (TN): 17.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.0 APG
  • Zakai Zeigler (TN): 13.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 7.3 APG
  • Alex Condon (FL): 11.2 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.3 APG

Florida has risen to third-favorite in March Madness championship odds, though expect a competitive game against Tennessee's stout defense.

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