Indians' +10000 AL Central Odds: A Long Shot Worth Skipping

Indians' +10000 AL Central Odds: A Long Shot Worth Skipping

By Michael Peterson

December 21, 2024 at 06:32 PM

The Cleveland Indians face long odds at +10000 to win the AL Central division. Here's a comprehensive analysis of their chances:

Current Standing and Performance

  • Record: 53-54 (2nd in AL Central)
  • 9.5 games behind Chicago White Sox
  • 7 games back in Wild Card race
  • 4-6 in last 10 games
  • Home record: 27-23
  • Away record: 26-31

Statistical Overview

  • Offense ranks 19th (4.28 runs per game)
  • .230 batting average (26th in MLB)
  • .399 slugging percentage (18th)
  • .297 on-base percentage (29th)
  • -37 run differential (19th)
  • Pitching staff ERA: 4.53 (21st)

Recent Developments

  • Traded key players at deadline:
    • Cesar Hernandez to White Sox
    • Eddie Rosario to Braves
    • Phil Maton to Astros
  • Manager Terry Francona stepped away for health reasons
  • Acquired Myles Straw from Astros (hitting .296 since trade)

Remaining Schedule

  • 5th easiest schedule in MLB (.485 opponent winning percentage)
  • 5 games left vs. White Sox (all at home)
  • Current head-to-head vs. White Sox: 7-7

Verdict: Not Worth Betting at +10000

  • Fangraphs gives 0.3% chance to win division
  • Recent trades indicate team's focus on future
  • Despite Jose Ramirez's strong season (.254/.341/.525, 24 HR), too many obstacles exist
  • Team likely to finish season October 3rd vs. Rangers

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