March Madness Opening Round: Top Betting Picks for Day One

March Madness Opening Round: Top Betting Picks for Day One

By Michael Peterson

December 22, 2024 at 03:01 PM

After going 5-3 in First Four picks, here are the top betting picks for NCAA March Madness Round of 64 Day One:

Colorado State (+1.5) vs Michigan

  • Models favor Colorado State despite Vegas odds
  • Key: Rams need to limit Michigan's rebounding from Dickinson/Diabate Pick: Colorado State +1.5

Kentucky vs St. Peter's (+17.5)

  • St. Peter's has top 10 defense nationally
  • Strong in opponent points per possession and FG%
  • Can't stop Tshibwe but should keep it within spread Pick: St Peter's +17.5

UConn vs New Mexico State (+6.5)

  • Both teams excel at rebounding
  • NMSU can match UConn's rebounding prowess
  • Potential for transition points if they limit UConn's offensive boards Picks: NMSU +6.5, NMSU ML +235 (0.5u)

Richmond vs Iowa O/U 151

  • Richmond offense heating up recently
  • Iowa is 2nd most efficient offense (KenPom)
  • Iowa averaging 80+ points in 7 of last 10 games Pick: Over 151

Boise State vs Memphis O/U 133.5

  • Both teams top 40 in defensive efficiency
  • Contrasting tempos: Boise plays very slow
  • Boise likely to control pace Pick: Under 133.5

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