MLB All-Star Home Run Derby 2021: Odds, Top Contenders and Expert Predictions

MLB All-Star Home Run Derby 2021: Odds, Top Contenders and Expert Predictions

By Michael Peterson

December 22, 2024 at 12:39 AM

The 2021 MLB Home Run Derby starts at 8:00 PM ET at Coors Field. Here's a complete betting guide with odds and analysis for each contestant:

Odds to Win:

  • Shohei Ohtani (+260)
  • Joey Gallo (+420)
  • Pete Alonso (+450)
  • Matt Olson (+500)
  • Trevor Story (+750)
  • Juan Soto (+800)
  • Salvador Perez (+1500)
  • Trey Mancini (+1800)

Top Picks:

Shohei Ohtani (+260)

  • MLB home run leader with 33 HRs in 2021
  • One of only six players to hit upper deck at T-Mobile Park
  • Potential fatigue concern due to pitching/hitting workload

Pete Alonso (+450)

  • Defending champion from 2019
  • Hit 57 total HRs in 2019 derby (4th most all-time)
  • Proven stamina and experience in the event

Trevor Story (+750)

  • Home field advantage at Coors Field
  • Strong power numbers in Colorado
  • Familiar with altitude/ballpark conditions

Value Pick: Trey Mancini (+1800)

  • Compelling comeback story after beating cancer
  • Strong power potential
  • Great value at long odds

The derby format rewards both raw power and endurance through multiple rounds. While Ohtani is the favorite, Alonso's experience and Story's home field edge make them attractive betting options at longer odds.

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