The AP NFL Coach of the Year award typically goes to leaders who exceed expectations rather than consistently successful coaches. Here's a comprehensive analysis of the top contenders and their odds for 2022.

Top Favorites:

Brian Daboll (+1300)

• First-year Giants head coach
• Previously transformed Josh Allen as Bills' offensive coordinator
• Could win by improving on Giants' 4-13 record under Joe Judge
• Success with Daniel Jones would boost chances

Nathaniel Hackett (+1600)

• First-time head coach with Broncos
• Has Russell Wilson at quarterback
• Denver hasn't made playoffs since 2015
• Wild Card berth could be enough in tough AFC West

Frank Reich (+2200)

• Has succeeded with different QBs each year
• Only one sub-.500 season in four years
• Matt Ryan addition improves chances
• AFC South title could secure award

Notable Contenders:

Zac Taylor (+2500)

• Led Bengals to 10-7 record after five losing seasons
• Super Bowl appearance helps visibility
• Further improvement could earn recognition

Ron Rivera (+3300)

• Value pick with two previous COTY awards
• Consistent 7-win seasons despite QB issues
• NFC East title with Carson Wentz could bring third award

Recent history shows the award favors coaches who turn teams around or significantly exceed preseason expectations. A playoff berth after a losing season or winning a competitive division typically strengthens a coach's case for the award.

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