Nuggets vs Warriors: NBA Odds, Props and Key Matchup Analysis for March 17

Nuggets vs Warriors: NBA Odds, Props and Key Matchup Analysis for March 17

By Michael Peterson

March 22, 2025 at 05:05 PM

Curry and Butler facing off

Curry and Butler facing off

The Golden State Warriors (-4) host the Denver Nuggets in a potential playoff preview at Chase Center. Golden State enters as -175 favorites, with the total set at 236.5.

Golden State has been dominant since acquiring Jimmy Butler, going 14-2 with him in the lineup while ranking second in Net rating during that span. Their defense has improved significantly, allowing 104 points or fewer in seven of their last 15 games.

Key factors favoring the Warriors:

  • 14-2 record with Butler
  • 2nd in Net rating since Butler trade
  • Strong home court advantage (21-13)
  • Steph Curry averaging 28+ points in six of last nine starts
  • Denver dealing with multiple injuries to starters

The Nuggets have struggled recently, coming off a loss to the Wizards and going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. Their defense ranks 22nd overall and 27th in the past 10 games.

Best Bets:

  • Warriors -4 (-115)
  • Steph Curry Over 6.5 Assists (+120)

The assists prop offers value as Denver allows 10 assists per game to opposing point guards (4th most in NBA). Curry recorded 11 assists in his only meeting with Denver this season.

Betting Notes:

  • Game Time: 7:10pm PT / 10:10pm ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco
  • Denver ML: +145
  • Total: 236.5

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