UFC 278 features a welterweight title rematch between champion Kamaru Usman (20-1) and challenger Leon Edwards (19-3) on August 20 in Salt Lake City. Their first meeting in 2015 saw Usman win by decision.

Betting Analysis:

• Usman is a -400 favorite
• Edwards sits as a +300 underdog
• These odds offer limited value given Edwards' skill level

Key Factors:

• Both fighters have evolved significantly since their first bout
• Usman's striking has improved dramatically under coach Trevor Whittman
• Edwards possesses dangerous clinch elbows and solid all-around skills
• First round likely to be cautious as fighters gauge distance

Path to Victory: For Usman:

• Utilize improved striking arsenal
• Mix in wrestling if needed
• Target Edwards' chin (was hurt by Diaz previously)

For Edwards:

• Defend early takedowns
• Keep Usman backing up
• Control distance and utilize clinch attacks
• Must overcome Usman's power and wrestling

Additional Considerations:

• Usman coming off hand surgery
• Age could be a factor for the champion
• Edwards lacks wins over elite competition
• Prop bets on Usman finish offer value

The champion has more paths to victory, but Edwards' well-rounded skillset makes him a legitimate threat despite the odds. Expect a technical striking battle with potential grappling exchanges throughout.

Related Articles

Previous Articles