Valspar Championship 2021 Betting Guide: Top Players and Odds Analysis

Valspar Championship 2021 Betting Guide: Top Players and Odds Analysis

By Michael Peterson

February 28, 2025 at 03:06 AM

The Valspar Championship features the challenging Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort near Tampa, Florida. The par-71, 7,340-yard Larry Packard design is known for its tree-lined fairways and demands precise tee shots. Its signature "Snake Pit" - the final three holes - is considered one of golf's most difficult closing stretches.

Paul Casey won the 2019 edition at -8, edging Jason Kokrak and Louis Oosthuizen by one stroke. It was Casey's second consecutive one-shot victory at the event, having previously defeated Tiger Woods and Patrick Reed in 2018.

This year's field includes four top-10 ranked players:

  • Dustin Johnson (coming off T13 at RBC Heritage)
  • Justin Thomas (first start since T21 at Masters)
  • Patrick Reed
  • Tyrrell Hatton

Phil Mickelson returns for his first Valspar appearance since 2004, following a T21 finish at the Masters.

Top Betting Picks:

Justin Thomas (+1000)

  • World #2 and tournament favorite
  • Won The Players Championship
  • Four top-20 finishes in last seven starts

Corey Conners (+1800)

  • Recent Florida success: 3rd at Arnold Palmer, 7th at Players
  • Ranks 10th in driving accuracy
  • 9th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green

Paul Casey (+2200)

  • Two-time defending champion
  • Six top-15 finishes in eight 2021 starts
  • Won Dubai Desert Classic in January

Emiliano Grillo (+4500)

  • Strong ball-striker, 10th in SG: Off-the-Tee
  • T2 at RBC Heritage
  • Seven top-25 finishes this season

Justin Rose (+5000)

  • Previous Valspar success (T5 2018, T8 2014)
  • Recently T7 at Masters
  • T11 at Zurich Classic

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