Wisconsin vs UCLA Picks & Props: Sharp Analysis for Big Ten Tournament Showdown

Wisconsin vs UCLA Picks & Props: Sharp Analysis for Big Ten Tournament Showdown

By Michael Peterson

March 21, 2025 at 01:36 AM

#5 Wisconsin Badgers face #4 UCLA Bruins in the 2025 Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis (2:30 pm ET, BTN).

Player dribbling basketball on court

Player dribbling basketball on court

Key Information:

  • Wisconsin (24-8, 13-7 Big Ten)
  • UCLA (22-9, 13-7 Big Ten)
  • Wisconsin defeated Northwestern 70-63 in previous round
  • UCLA received double-bye as #4 seed

Top Betting Picks:

  • Wisconsin moneyline (-122) at FanDuel
  • John Tonje over 17.5 points (-115) at bet365

Analysis: Wisconsin holds advantages in key metrics:

  • Higher rankings across all analytics sites
  • 3-0 record in neutral-court games
  • 19th in DI for turnover percentage (14.3%)
  • Strong shooting performance vs UCLA in previous matchup (51.0% FG, 50% 3PT)

UCLA concerns:

  • 0-1 in neutral-site games this season
  • 1-4 in neutral-site games last season
  • Previous win against Wisconsin benefited from home court advantage

Public Betting Trends:

  • 86% of moneyline handle on Wisconsin
  • 63% of ATS handle on UCLA
  • 88% of total handle on over 141.5

Current Odds:

  • Spread: Wisconsin -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin -122, UCLA +115
  • Total: 141.0-141.5

Notable Player Props (bet365):

  • John Tonje: 17.5 points O/U
  • John Blackwell: 15.5 points O/U
  • Tyler Bilodeau: 13.5 points O/U
  • Kobe Johnson: 6.5 rebounds O/U

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