How Weather Can Impact Your NFL Betting Strategy

How Weather Can Impact Your NFL Betting Strategy

By Michael Peterson

January 23, 2025 at 01:30 PM

Weather plays a crucial role in NFL betting as it's the only major sport played outdoors in all conditions. Understanding weather impacts can give bettors a significant edge.

Rain Impact:

  • Makes games sloppier with reduced passing and traction
  • Generally lowers game totals
  • Benefits underdogs by neutralizing stronger teams' advantages
  • Consider betting the under and underdogs against the spread

Wind Impact:

  • Becomes significant at 15+ mph
  • Can severely limit passing games
  • Makes under bets more attractive
  • Teams may abandon passing for run-heavy approach

Snow Impact:

  • Least common but most disruptive
  • Makes games highly unpredictable
  • Best to avoid betting these games
  • Strongly consider the under

Player Props Strategy:

  • Target running back overs in poor weather
  • Expect increased rushing attempts when passing is limited
  • Avoid passing-related props in bad weather conditions

Indoor Stadium Teams (Weather Not a Factor):

  • Dallas
  • Los Angeles
  • Minnesota
  • Detroit
  • Houston
  • Arizona
  • Las Vegas
  • Indianapolis
  • New Orleans
  • Atlanta

Remember to always check weather forecasts before placing NFL bets, as conditions can significantly impact game outcomes and betting value.

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Note: Always review local weather reports and monitor any changes leading up to kickoff.

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