March Madness 2025: Public Betting Data Reveals Tournament Favorites After Selection Sunday

March Madness 2025: Public Betting Data Reveals Tournament Favorites After Selection Sunday

By Michael Peterson

March 22, 2025 at 03:38 PM

The 2025 March Madness bracket release has triggered significant betting activity, with notable shifts in both first-round and championship odds. Here's what the public is betting on according to ESPN Bet's latest data.

Paolo Banchero in Duke basketball jersey

Paolo Banchero in Duke basketball jersey

Public's Top Moneyline Pick: Texas A&M (-340) vs Yale is drawing the most action, despite Yale's impressive upset over Auburn as a #13 seed last year. Yale returns key players averaging strong numbers:

  • John Poulakidas: 19.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.3 APG
  • Bez Mbeng: 13.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 5.6 APG
  • Nick Townsend: 15.4 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 3.6 APG

Notable: Texas A&M has lost five of their last seven games, making this public confidence potentially questionable.

Popular Against The Spread (ATS) Bets:

  • Michigan (-2.5) vs UC San Diego leads public betting
  • North Carolina (-3.5) vs San Diego State in First Four showing heavy action

Championship Betting Trends:

  • Duke commands 40% of total handle, boosted by Cooper Flagg's expected return
  • Florida follows with 21% of bets
  • Combined, these two teams account for 61% of all championship wagers

Key Factors Influencing Public Bets:

  • Brand recognition vs lesser-known programs
  • Recent performance (especially Michigan's Big Ten Tournament run)
  • Star power (Flagg's impact on Duke's odds)
  • Historical program success

These early betting patterns may shift as March Madness approaches, but they provide valuable insight into public sentiment following Selection Sunday.

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