Michigan State vs Oregon Big Ten Tournament Odds, Picks & Predictions (Spartans Favored)

Michigan State vs Oregon Big Ten Tournament Odds, Picks & Predictions (Spartans Favored)

By Michael Peterson

March 20, 2025 at 09:25 PM

The #1 Michigan State Spartans (-6.5) face the #8 Oregon Ducks in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis (March 14, 12:00 pm ET).

Basketball player dribbling in white uniform

Basketball player dribbling in white uniform

Oregon enters on an eight-game win streak, including their 72-59 victory over Indiana in the second round. The Ducks' backcourt duo of Jackson Shelstad (18 points) and TJ Bamba (17 points) led the way, while their defense held Indiana to just 36.2% shooting.

Michigan State won the only regular-season matchup 86-74, despite trailing by 14 at halftime. Freshman Jase Richardson's 29-point performance sparked a second-half comeback, with the Spartans dominating the glass (+14 rebounding margin).

Key Stats:

  • Michigan State: 26-5 (17-3 Big Ten), 21-9-1 ATS
  • Oregon: 24-8 (12-8 Big Ten), 15-16-1 ATS
  • Spartans are 10-21 on O/U this season
  • Game total: 142.5 (-110 both sides)

Top Player Props:

  • Jase Richardson (MSU): 15.5 points
  • Nate Bittle (ORE): 14.5 points
  • Jaxon Kohler (MSU): 7.5 rebounds

Expert Picks:

  1. Oregon +6.5 (-110): The Ducks' recent form and first-half success in the previous matchup suggest a competitive game
  2. Kohler over 7.5 rebounds (-125): Strong matchup against Oregon's 152nd-ranked rebounding unit

Public Betting:

  • Moneyline: 95% on Michigan State
  • Spread: 54% of money on Oregon
  • Total: 88% favoring the over

The balanced scoring of both teams (each with 7+ players averaging 7+ PPG) and Oregon's defensive improvement make this an intriguing quarterfinal matchup.

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