No. 16 Memphis Takes on UAB in AAC Tournament Championship Game Odds & Prediction

No. 16 Memphis Takes on UAB in AAC Tournament Championship Game Odds & Prediction

By Michael Peterson

March 22, 2025 at 10:17 AM

The #16 Memphis Tigers (-3.5, -175 ML) face UAB Blazers (+3.5, +145 ML) in today's AAC Tournament Final with a total of 158.5. Tip-off is at 3:15pm ET at Dickies Arena on ESPN.

Basketball player dunking in game

Basketball player dunking in game

Key Factors:

  • Tigers star guard Tyrese Hunter (14 PPG, 4 APG) is doubtful with an ankle injury
  • Memphis has struggled in tournament, winning close games vs Wichita State and Tulane
  • UAB enters hot with 10 wins in last 13 games
  • Blazers rank 34th in offensive rating, 25th in efficiency since February
  • Memphis needs win for NCAA bid; UAB likely needs auto-bid

Head-to-Head:

  • Memphis won both regular season matchups with healthy Hunter
  • UAB's Yaxel Lendeborg struggled vs Tigers but comes in hot (53 points, 33 rebounds, 12 assists in tournament)

Two men handshake agreement

Two men handshake agreement

Prediction: UAB +3.5 (-115)

Reasoning:

  • Hunter's absence significantly impacts Memphis
  • Tigers rank just 51st in Kenpom despite #16 AP ranking
  • UAB's elite offensive rebounding and low turnover rate
  • Blazers have greater motivation needing win for NCAA bid
  • Line movement favoring UAB (moved 2 points from open)

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