The Cleveland Browns have shifted from -6.5 point favorites to +1.5 underdogs against the Las Vegas Raiders due to multiple COVID-19 cases. Here's why they could still win outright:

Nick Chubb Advantage

• Chubb is due for a breakout after two quiet games against Baltimore
• Raiders rank 26th in rush defense
• Even with offensive line absences, interior blocking remains solid with Michael Dunn
• Game plan can focus heavily on the run game, similar to Patriots' successful strategy vs Bills

Strong Defensive Core

• Key defensive players healthy: Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, Denzel Ward
• Defense has been Cleveland's strength recently:
  • Contained Lamar Jackson's high-powered Ravens offense
  • Held Lions to just 10 points
• Raiders' deep passing game could struggle against Browns secondary
• Raiders managed only 9 points vs Chiefs last week

Betting Value

• Browns historically perform well as underdogs
• Current moneyline odds: Browns +140
• Viable upset potential with strong run game and defense
• Nick Mullens has previous success as backup QB with 49ers

Despite COVID-19 impacting the roster, Cleveland's foundational strengths in rushing and defense make them a legitimate threat to win outright against Las Vegas.

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