Yale and Texas A&M square off in an intriguing 4 vs 13 South Region matchup. The Aggies are favored by 7.5 points, but Yale presents a compelling upset possibility.

Key Statistics:

• Texas A&M ranks 317th in effective field goal percentage
• The Aggies lead the nation in offensive rebounding percentage
• Yale is 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage
• Yale's offense ranks top-60 nationally (41st in effective field goal percentage)

Why Yale Can Win:

• Strong defensive rebounding should neutralize A&M's primary offensive strength
• Three-time Ivy League DPOY Bez Mbeng can contain A&M's top scorers
• Yale shoots efficiently (41st in effective FG%) and protects the ball (13th in assist-to-turnover ratio)
• The Bulldogs have proven tournament success, upsetting Auburn last year as a 13-seed

Texas A&M's Vulnerabilities:

• Poor shooting (292nd from 2-point range, 243rd in threes)
• High turnover rate (240th in turnover percentage)
• Struggles defending the three (308th in opponent three-point makes)

Best Betting Value:

• Yale +7.5 (-115) at DraftKings
• Consider small play on Yale ML (+275)
• Aggies are 2-5 ATS in last seven games
• Yale is 2-1-1 ATS as underdogs this season

The winner faces either UC San Diego or Michigan in the Round of 32, presenting a winnable path to the Sweet 16 for either team.

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